📊 Analysis Engine

Powered by Fusion Trade Engine™ • Last Updated: 2026-01-02 13:45 UTC

🟡 WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION

Rationale: Buy on breakout above $503.82 (+12.0%)
Trigger: $503.82 (+12.0%)
Catalysts: No near-term catalysts
Fusion Confidence: 50.5% (Pattern 65.0% • ML 40.0% • Technical 9.0/15)
TSLA
$449.72
Tesla, Inc.
Last Updated: 13:45 UTC
AI Advisor Summary
WAIT
TSLA requires confirmation
Key Insights
  • Fusion confidence: 50% (neutral zone)
  • Setup forming but incomplete
  • Awaiting breakout/breakdown
  • Action: WAIT - monitor for clarity
Add-on Triggers
  • Breakout above resistance
  • Volume confirmation
Exit Alerts
  • Pattern invalidation
  • Stop below support
Generated: 2026-01-02 at 13:45:20.935737 Fusion Engine

Decision Zone

Powered by Fusion Trade Engine™
Current Price
$449.72
Tesla, Inc.
Fair Value
$399.15
12.7% premium
Risk Band
Moderate
Quality income play
Fusion Verdict
🟡 WAIT
50.5% confidence
Entry: $503.82
Market Regime
📊 Neutral
Trend: Weak
Breakout Window
7 days
40.0% ML probability
📐 Bear Flag
65.0% confidence • DETECTED
Trigger
$503.82
Target 1
$545.67
Target 2
$571.54
Stop
$426.8
Expected
15d

Evidence Zone

Technical Cluster
📐 Pattern AI
65.0%
Bear Flag (D) — 65.0% conf
Trigger: Above $503.82
T1: $545.67, T2: $571.54
Bear Flag pattern with 65.0% confidence
📈 Technical Snapshot
A-
RSI: 55.0 ↑ • MACD: Bullish cross
MAs: Above 20/50 • Support: $427.23
Momentum constructive; buy-the-dip near 20-50MA.
🔁 Relative Strength
A
vs QQQ: Strong Outperform (1.328x)
Stock: 49.6% • QQQ: 12.6%
Strong tech outperformance.
🧪 Setup Performance
A-
Win Rate: 75.0% • Avg Gain: 6.7%
Median Hold: 12.0d • Max DD: -3.7%
Favourable skew with quick resolution.
🤖 ML Signal Forecast
A
7d: 90.0% ↗ • 21d: 65.0% ↗ • 60d: 65.0% ↔
Bias: Bullish • Confidence: High
Short-term upside odds improving.
Flow & Sentiment Cluster
🌊 Sentiment Proxy
Neut
Score: 40.3 • Neutral
RSI: 49.4 • 3d: -5.36%
Net buying in blocks; shorts drifting lower.
📰 Market Sentiment
B
Analyst: 55.0% Buy • Retail: 75.0% bull
News: +0.4.0 (7d) • Social: +0.2.05
Constructive, not euphoric.
📉 Volatility Forecast
B+
HV(20d): 24.7% • HV(60d): 19.7%
Expected Move: ±1.1% / day
Calm tape supports staged entries.
Fundamental & Valuation Cluster
💰 Valuation Analysis
B
P/E (TTM): 19.7 • P/B: 3.4
Div Yield: 5.2% • Fair Value: $427.0
Slight premium to blended FV; yield cushions drawdowns.
🧮 Quant Composite
B+
Score: 90.0/100
Val 22.0 • Qual 21.0 • Growth 17.0 • Mom 21.0 • Regime 6.0
Quality-income tilt with improving momentum.
🏛️ Capital Structure
A-
ROE: 13.7% • D/E: 0.4
Cash/Debt: 3.3x • ROIC: 13.7%
Strong balance sheet with efficient capital allocation.
📥 Insider & Dividend
A-
Director Transactions (90d): Small net sell
Div Safety: A (coverage 1.4x)
Dividend well-covered; insider flows not material.
Risk Cluster
⚠️ Risk Assessment
B
Market 55.0%, Valuation 35.0%, Fundamentals 17.0%
Composite: 45.0/100 — Moderate
Macro/sector beta the key driver; valuation premium second.
🛰️ Risk Monitor Hooks
A-
Buffett Indicator: 159.7%
VIX: 16.7 • Market Regime: Neutral
Low-vol regime; breadth softening warrants vigilance.
🔥 Scenario Analysis
B+
Bear: $414.0 (20%) • Base: $454.0 (55%) • Bull: $504.0 (25%)
R:R: 2.0:1
Mildly asymmetric to upside if breadth stabilises.

Action Zone

Entry Zone
Pattern Trigger Zone
$503.82
Above breakout level
Position Size
4.0-5.0%
Entry Probability (3d)
30.0%
Historical R/R
2.0:1
Pattern Win Rate: 83.0%
Targets & Upside
Pattern Target 1
$545.67
21.3% upside
Pattern Target 2
$571.54
27.1% upside
Expected Timeframe
14.0-20.0 days
Risk Management
Pattern Stop
$426.8
Pattern invalidation
Max Risk
10.0%
Risk-Reward
2.0:1

📅 Upcoming Catalysts — 3 Events

2025-08-25.0
🔴 High
Q2 Earnings Release
Revenue, EPS, and forward guidance. Expected volatility: ±13.0%
2025-09-7.0
🟠 Medium
Sector Conference
Management presentation and Q&A. Potential guidance updates
2025-09-22.0
🟢 Low
Ex-Dividend Date
Quarterly dividend of $0.62. Price adjustment expected
Sector Context:
Sector 1.2% today • Avg Daily Volume: $250.0M • Last Updated: 2026-01-02 13:45 UTC