📊 Analysis Engine
Powered by Fusion Trade Engine™ • Last Updated: 2026-01-02 13:44 UTC
🟡 WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION
Rationale: Buy on breakout above $194.62 (+4.4%)
Trigger: $194.62 (+4.4%)
Catalysts:
No near-term catalysts
Fusion Confidence:
65.5%
(Pattern 60.0% •
ML 70.0% •
Technical 9.0/15)
NVDA
$186.5
NVIDIA Corporation
Last Updated: 13:44 UTC
AI Advisor Summary
NVDA requires confirmation
Key Insights
- Fusion confidence: 65% (neutral zone)
- Setup forming but incomplete
- Awaiting breakout/breakdown
- Action: WAIT - monitor for clarity
Add-on Triggers
- Breakout above resistance
- Volume confirmation
Exit Alerts
- Pattern invalidation
- Stop below support
Generated: 2026-01-02 at 13:44:51.173665
Fusion Engine
Decision Zone
Powered by Fusion Trade Engine™
Current Price
$186.5
NVIDIA Corporation
Fair Value
$253.02
-26.3% discount
Risk Band
Moderate
Quality income play
Fusion Verdict
🟡 WAIT
65.5% confidence
Entry: $194.62
Market Regime
📊 Neutral
Trend: Weak
Breakout Window
7 days
70.0% ML probability
📐 Ascending Triangle
60.0% confidence • DETECTED
Trigger
$194.62
Target 1
$208.45
Target 2
$217.0
Stop
$168.61
Expected
14d
Evidence Zone
Technical Cluster
📐 Pattern AI
60.0%
Ascending Triangle (D) — 60.0% conf
Trigger: Above $194.62
T1: $208.45, T2: $217.0
Ascending Triangle pattern with 60.0% confidence
📈 Technical Snapshot
A-
RSI: 72.0 ↑ • MACD: Bullish cross
MAs: Above 20/50 • Support: $177.17
Momentum constructive; buy-the-dip near 20-50MA.
🔁 Relative Strength
B+
vs QQQ: Outperform
(1.081x)
Stock: 21.7% • QQQ: 12.6%
Outperforming tech index.
🧪 Setup Performance
A-
Win Rate: 72.0% • Avg Gain: 4.5%
Median Hold: 12.0d • Max DD: -2.5%
Favourable skew with quick resolution.
🤖 ML Signal Forecast
A
7d: 76.0% ↗ • 21d: 62.0% ↗ • 60d: 56.0% ↔
Bias: Bullish • Confidence: High
Short-term upside odds improving.
Flow & Sentiment Cluster
🌊 Sentiment Proxy
Neut
Score: 53.2
• Neutral
RSI: 53.2 • 3d: -2.12%
Net buying in blocks; shorts drifting lower.
📰 Market Sentiment
B
Analyst: 52.0% Buy • Retail: 62.0% bull
News: +0.2.0 (7d) • Social: +0.0.05
Constructive, not euphoric.
📉 Volatility Forecast
B+
HV(20d): 21.5% • HV(60d): 20.5%
Expected Move: ±1.3% / day
Calm tape supports staged entries.
Fundamental & Valuation Cluster
💰 Valuation Analysis
B
P/E (TTM): 20.5 • P/B: 2.7
Div Yield: 4.0% • Fair Value: $177.0
Slight premium to blended FV; yield cushions drawdowns.
🧮 Quant Composite
B+
Score: 76.0/100
Val 22.0 • Qual 16.0 • Growth 14.0 • Mom 16.0 • Regime 4.0
Quality-income tilt with improving momentum.
🏛️ Capital Structure
A-
ROE: 14.5% • D/E: 0.4
Cash/Debt: 2.6x • ROIC: 8.5%
Strong balance sheet with efficient capital allocation.
📥 Insider & Dividend
A-
Director Transactions (90d): Small net sell
Div Safety: A (coverage 1.2x)
Dividend well-covered; insider flows not material.
Risk Cluster
⚠️ Risk Assessment
B
Market 46.0%, Valuation 32.0%, Fundamentals 18.0%
Composite: 68.0/100 — Moderate
Macro/sector beta the key driver; valuation premium second.
🛰️ Risk Monitor Hooks
A-
Buffett Indicator: 146.5%
VIX: 17.5 • Market Regime: Neutral
Low-vol regime; breadth softening warrants vigilance.
🔥 Scenario Analysis
B+
Bear: $172.0 (20%) • Base: $188.0 (55%) • Bull: $209.0 (25%)
R:R: 1.8:1
Mildly asymmetric to upside if breadth stabilises.
Action Zone
Entry Zone
Pattern Trigger Zone
$194.62
Above breakout level
Position Size
2.0-4.0%
Entry Probability (3d)
60.0%
Historical R/R
1.8:1
Pattern Win Rate: 74.0%
Targets & Upside
Pattern Target 1
$208.45
11.8% upside
Pattern Target 2
$217.0
16.4% upside
Expected Timeframe
14.0-20.0 days
Risk Management
Pattern Stop
$168.61
Pattern invalidation
Max Risk
10.0%
Risk-Reward
1.8:1
📅 Upcoming Catalysts — 3 Events
2025-08-22.0
🔴 High
Q2 Earnings Release
Revenue, EPS, and forward guidance. Expected volatility: ±10.0%
2025-09-8.0
🟠 Medium
Sector Conference
Management presentation and Q&A. Potential guidance updates
2025-09-22.0
🟢 Low
Ex-Dividend Date
Quarterly dividend of $0.6. Price adjustment expected
Sector Context:
Sector 0.8% today • Avg Daily Volume: $286.0M • Last Updated: 2026-01-02 13:44 UTC