📊 Analysis Engine
Powered by Fusion Trade Engine™ • Last Updated: 2025-11-18 07:44 UTC
🟡 WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION
Rationale: Buy on breakout above $279.82 (+4.6%)
Trigger: $279.82 (+4.6%)
Catalysts:
No near-term catalysts
Fusion Confidence:
52.0%
(Pattern 70.0% •
ML 40.0% •
Technical 9.0/15)
AAPL
$267.46
Apple Inc.
Last Updated: 07:44 UTC
AI Advisor Summary
AAPL requires confirmation
Key Insights
- Fusion confidence: 52% (neutral zone)
- Setup forming but incomplete
- Awaiting breakout/breakdown
- Action: WAIT - monitor for clarity
Add-on Triggers
- Breakout above resistance
- Volume confirmation
Exit Alerts
- Pattern invalidation
- Stop below support
Generated: 2025-11-18 at 07:44:00.993995
Fusion Engine
Decision Zone
Powered by Fusion Trade Engine™
Current Price
$267.46
Apple Inc.
Fair Value
$281.07
-4.8% discount
Risk Band
Moderate
Quality income play
Fusion Verdict
🟡 WAIT
52.0% confidence
Entry: $279.82
Market Regime
📊 Neutral
Trend: Weak
Breakout Window
7 days
40.0% ML probability
📐 Ascending Triangle
70.0% confidence • DETECTED
Trigger
$279.82
Target 1
$293.34
Target 2
$301.69
Stop
$252.63
Expected
12d
Evidence Zone
Technical Cluster
📐 Pattern AI
70.0%
Ascending Triangle (D) — 70.0% conf
Trigger: Above $279.82
T1: $293.34, T2: $301.69
Ascending Triangle pattern with 70.0% confidence
📈 Technical Snapshot
A-
RSI: 72.0 ↑ • MACD: Bullish cross
MAs: Above 20/50 • Support: $254.09
Momentum constructive; buy-the-dip near 20-50MA.
🔁 Relative Strength
A
vs QQQ: Strong Outperform
(1.108x)
Stock: 28.4% • QQQ: 15.9%
Strong tech outperformance.
🧪 Setup Performance
A-
Win Rate: 72.0% • Avg Gain: 4.5%
Median Hold: 13.0d • Max DD: -3.5%
Favourable skew with quick resolution.
🤖 ML Signal Forecast
A
7d: 82.0% ↗ • 21d: 62.0% ↗ • 60d: 62.0% ↔
Bias: Bullish • Confidence: High
Short-term upside odds improving.
Flow & Sentiment Cluster
🌊 Sentiment Proxy
Neut
Score: 42.2
• Neutral
RSI: 47.1 • 3d: -2.2%
Net buying in blocks; shorts drifting lower.
📰 Market Sentiment
B
Analyst: 52.0% Buy • Retail: 67.0% bull
News: +0.1.0 (7d) • Social: +0.1.05
Constructive, not euphoric.
📉 Volatility Forecast
B+
HV(20d): 22.5% • HV(60d): 21.5%
Expected Move: ±1.3% / day
Calm tape supports staged entries.
Fundamental & Valuation Cluster
💰 Valuation Analysis
B
P/E (TTM): 21.5 • P/B: 2.7
Div Yield: 5.0% • Fair Value: $254.0
Slight premium to blended FV; yield cushions drawdowns.
🧮 Quant Composite
B+
Score: 82.0/100
Val 23.0 • Qual 18.0 • Growth 14.0 • Mom 18.0 • Regime 3.0
Quality-income tilt with improving momentum.
🏛️ Capital Structure
A-
ROE: 15.5% • D/E: 0.6
Cash/Debt: 2.6x • ROIC: 11.5%
Strong balance sheet with efficient capital allocation.
📥 Insider & Dividend
A-
Director Transactions (90d): Small net sell
Div Safety: A (coverage 1.7x)
Dividend well-covered; insider flows not material.
Risk Cluster
⚠️ Risk Assessment
B
Market 52.0%, Valuation 32.0%, Fundamentals 18.0%
Composite: 48.0/100 — Moderate
Macro/sector beta the key driver; valuation premium second.
🛰️ Risk Monitor Hooks
A-
Buffett Indicator: 152.5%
VIX: 18.5 • Market Regime: Neutral
Low-vol regime; breadth softening warrants vigilance.
🔥 Scenario Analysis
B+
Bear: $246.0 (20%) • Base: $270.0 (55%) • Bull: $300.0 (25%)
R:R: 2.3:1
Mildly asymmetric to upside if breadth stabilises.
Action Zone
Entry Zone
Pattern Trigger Zone
$279.82
Above breakout level
Position Size
3.0-4.0%
Entry Probability (3d)
30.0%
Historical R/R
2.3:1
Pattern Win Rate: 80.0%
Targets & Upside
Pattern Target 1
$293.34
9.7% upside
Pattern Target 2
$301.69
12.8% upside
Expected Timeframe
15.0-21.0 days
Risk Management
Pattern Stop
$252.63
Pattern invalidation
Max Risk
11.0%
Risk-Reward
2.3:1
📅 Upcoming Catalysts — 3 Events
2025-08-22.0
🔴 High
Q2 Earnings Release
Revenue, EPS, and forward guidance. Expected volatility: ±10.0%
2025-09-8.0
🟠 Medium
Sector Conference
Management presentation and Q&A. Potential guidance updates
2025-09-23.0
🟢 Low
Ex-Dividend Date
Quarterly dividend of $0.76. Price adjustment expected
Sector Context:
Sector 1.4% today • Avg Daily Volume: $267.0M • Last Updated: 2025-11-18 07:44 UTC