Tesla, Inc.
TSLA • Tesla, Inc.
Analysis indicates HOLD position with moderate conviction based on current market conditions.
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | -11.8% |
| EPS Growth (YoY) | -17.5% |
| FCF Growth | N/A% |
| Book Value Growth | N/A% |
| Gross Margin | 17.5% |
| Operating Margin | 4.1% |
| Net Profit Margin | 6.3% |
| Return on Equity | 8.2% |
Wall Street analysts' upgrades/downgrades and price target revisions
Neutral recommendation
Nasdaq strength, AI narrative driving sector flows. While AAPL trades ~5% above intrinsic value, momentum signals support short-to-mid-term alpha opportunity.
TSLA shows moderate profitability with ROE of 8.2%. Premium valuation reflects growth expectations (P/E: 179.1). Higher leverage requires monitoring in volatile markets.
| P/E Ratio | 179.07 |
| Forward P/E | 93.4 |
| PEG Ratio | N/A |
| P/B Ratio | 12.62 |
| P/S Ratio | 10.53 |
| EV/EBITDA | 84.01 |
| ROE | 8.2% |
| ROA | 2.9% |
| ROIC | N/A% |
| Net Margin | 6.3% |
| Gross Margin | 17.5% |
| Operating Margin | 4.1% |
| Revenue Growth | -11.8% |
| EPS Growth | -17.5% |
| Debt/Equity | 16.82 |
| Current Ratio | 2.04 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.36 |
| Cash Ratio | N/A |
| Current Price | $302.63 |
| DCF Fair Value | $N/A |
| StockAI Fair Value | $N/A |
| Buffett Intrinsic | $N/A |
| Dividend Yield | N/A% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A% |
| Asset Turnover | N/A |
| Inventory Turnover | N/A |
TSLA maintains balanced momentum with RSI at 43.2. Price below key support levels suggests bearish pressure continues. MACD bearish signal warns of potential downside continuation.
| RSI | 43.2 | 🟡 Bearish |
| MACD | -0.334 | 🔴 Bearish |
| OBV | -7164700.0 | 🟢 Rising |
| 20-day SMA | $315.03 | 🔴 Below |
| 50-day SMA | $323.0 | 🔴 Below |
| 200-day SMA | $321.59 | 🔴 Below |
| Bollinger Position | 23.9% | 🟡 Normal |
| ADX Strength | N/A | 🟡 Weak |
| Pattern Signal | No Pattern | |
Strategy: Monitor key support/resistance levels.
Only 1 of 4 agents shows bullish signals. Majority agents signal caution or bearish conditions. Risk agent shows manageable risk profile. Normal position sizing appropriate.
Technical Agent (50%) is bullish due to MACD crossover and strong momentum signals above key moving averages. Sentiment Agent (80%) strongly supports upside based on heavy call volume and positive institutional flows. Fundamental Agent (48.0%) shows solid conviction with strong ROE and revenue growth. Risk Agent deems this moderate risk due to solid support zones but flags earnings event risk.
Mixed technical signals. RSI at 43.2 suggests consolidation. Trend unclear between moving averages.
Mixed fundamental picture. Valuation appears stretched (P/E 179.1). Quality metrics show average performance.
High conviction based on strong options flow and positive media sentiment. 80 Impact Score, Confidence: 85%, Heavy call volume indicates institutional accumulation. Social buzz reinforces institutional positioning.
Low risk environment. Volatility manageable, strong support levels, and clear trend direction provide confidence.
Limited bullish conviction with multiple concerns. Only one agent shows positive signals while others suggest caution. Wait for better setup or consider contrary positioning.
Ordered signal layers showing alignment from strongest bullish to strongest bearish. Each signal includes confidence level, regime-adjusted weighting, and categorical classification for maximum transparency.
| Type | Signal | Value | Weight | Impact | Trend Δ | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fundamental | P/E Ratio | 179.1x | 15% | -6.2 | Overvalued vs industry avg (~21x) | |
| Fundamental | Revenue Growth | -11.8% | 12% | -3.2 | Below-average growth rate | |
| Fundamental | ROE Quality | 8.2% | 10% | -2.8 | Below-average profitability | |
| Fundamental | Debt/Equity Ratio | 1682.0% | 8% | -4.5 | High leverage risk concern | |
| Technical | RSI Momentum | 43.2 | 12% | 0.0 | Neutral momentum zone | |
| Technical | MACD Signal | -0.334 | 10% | 0.0 | No clear momentum direction | |
| Technical | SMA Trend Stack | Bullish | 8% | +4.5 | Long-term uptrend intact (Golden Cross) | |
| Sentiment | Analyst Ratings | 50.0/100 | 6% | +1.1 | Mixed but slightly positive ratings | |
| Sentiment | Options Flow | 50.0/100 | 5% | +0.8 | Moderate bullish options activity | |
| Pattern | Ascending Triangle | Bull Flag (85% conf.) | 12% | +8.5 | ↗ | Breakout target: $225 (+5.4%), High-probability continuation pattern |
| Levels | Key S/R Analysis | $208 (S) / $220 (R) | 8% | +4.2 | ↗ | Above key support, approaching resistance confluence |
| Volume | Breakout Volume | +28% above avg | 6% | +3.8 | ↗ | Institutional accumulation confirms pattern validity |
Current Regime: Sideways Market
Balanced market conditions apply standard signal weighting across all categories with no regime-specific adjustments.
Mixed signal environment requires selective positioning and careful timing. Monitor for clearer technical setup before position sizing.
Four-factor quantitative model combining Valuation, Growth, Quality, and Momentum metrics. Each category is clickable to reveal detailed metric breakdowns and score contributions.
StockAI's proprietary valuation engine synthesizes DCF, Buffett ROE, and peer multiples using regime-aware weighting to deliver a single fair value estimate with confidence-adjusted pricing bands.
| Model | Fair Value Estimate | Weight | Confidence | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | $189.20 | 40% | Medium | Based on 5-year FCF growth at -11.8%, 9% discount rate, 2% terminal growth |
| Buffett ROE | $41.48 | 35% | High | ROE = 8.2%, BVPS = $5.30, projected compounding over 10 years |
| Peer Multiples | $205.40 | 25% | Low | Sector avg P/E = 22x, TSLA at 179.1x. Relative overvaluation detected |
Fair Value Range: $190–$210
AI Adjusted Fair Value: $194.89
Confidence: 75%
Limited upside, premium pricing
TSLA is currently trading at $302.63 — 35.6% above modeled fair value. No strong undervaluation case present.
High Conviction BUY - Alpha Score 8.4/10. AAPL trades ~5% above intrinsic value but tech sector bullish regime and strong momentum signals create short-to-mid-term alpha opportunity.
DCF suggests fair value around $189 based on realistic assumptions. Buffett's model is conservative due to moderate ROE and long compounding runway.
Peer multiples highlight relative overvaluation vs sector. Given current market optimism and high valuation ratios, the system assigns a CAUTION verdict with valuation concerns.
| Current Price | $302.63 |
| Fair Value | $194.89 |
| Price Delta | -35.6% |
20-day SMA below 50-day SMA
BearishAnalysis complete. Choose your next action:
Current Analysis: Price is in Entry Zone, but RSI suggests waiting 2–3 sessions for better entry. Technical momentum building but not yet confirmed.
Advanced pattern recognition, detailed sentiment analysis, and earnings-aware execution timing
Triangle consolidation. Breakout coming soon.
Score: 83/100 - This is driving positive sentiment
High ImpactScore: 40.0/100 - This is creating sentiment drag
Medium Impact