📊 Analysis Engine
Powered by Fusion Trade Engine™ • Last Updated: 2026-01-02 16:45 UTC
🟡 WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION
Rationale: Buy on breakout above $503.82 (+13.7%)
Trigger: $503.82 (+13.7%)
Catalysts:
No near-term catalysts
Fusion Confidence:
49.0%
(Pattern 60.0% •
ML 40.0% •
Technical 9.0/15)
TSLA
$443.11
Tesla, Inc.
Last Updated: 16:45 UTC
AI Advisor Summary
TSLA requires confirmation
Key Insights
- Fusion confidence: 49% (neutral zone)
- Setup forming but incomplete
- Awaiting breakout/breakdown
- Action: WAIT - monitor for clarity
Add-on Triggers
- Breakout above resistance
- Volume confirmation
Exit Alerts
- Pattern invalidation
- Stop below support
Generated: 2026-01-02 at 16:45:24.891985
Fusion Engine
Decision Zone
Powered by Fusion Trade Engine™
Current Price
$443.11
Tesla, Inc.
Fair Value
$399.15
11.0% premium
Risk Band
Moderate
Quality income play
Fusion Verdict
🟡 WAIT
49.0% confidence
Entry: $503.82
Market Regime
📊 Neutral
Trend: Weak
Breakout Window
7 days
40.0% ML probability
📐 Descending Triangle
60.0% confidence • DETECTED
Trigger
$503.82
Target 1
$543.11
Target 2
$567.4
Stop
$430.9
Expected
15d
Evidence Zone
Technical Cluster
📐 Pattern AI
60.0%
Descending Triangle (D) — 60.0% conf
Trigger: Above $503.82
T1: $543.11, T2: $567.4
Descending Triangle pattern with 60.0% confidence
📈 Technical Snapshot
A-
RSI: 48.0 ↑ • MACD: Bullish cross
MAs: Above 20/50 • Support: $420.95
Momentum constructive; buy-the-dip near 20-50MA.
🔁 Relative Strength
A
vs QQQ: Strong Outperform
(1.259x)
Stock: 40.4% • QQQ: 11.5%
Strong tech outperformance.
🧪 Setup Performance
A-
Win Rate: 68.0% • Avg Gain: 6.1%
Median Hold: 13.0d • Max DD: -3.1%
Favourable skew with quick resolution.
🤖 ML Signal Forecast
A
7d: 83.0% ↗ • 21d: 58.0% ↗ • 60d: 58.0% ↔
Bias: Bullish • Confidence: High
Short-term upside odds improving.
Flow & Sentiment Cluster
🌊 Sentiment Proxy
Neut
Score: 41.2
• Neutral
RSI: 48.6 • 3d: -3.59%
Net buying in blocks; shorts drifting lower.
📰 Market Sentiment
B
Analyst: 48.0% Buy • Retail: 68.0% bull
News: +0.3.0 (7d) • Social: +0.1.05
Constructive, not euphoric.
📉 Volatility Forecast
B+
HV(20d): 18.1% • HV(60d): 21.1%
Expected Move: ±1.1% / day
Calm tape supports staged entries.
Fundamental & Valuation Cluster
💰 Valuation Analysis
B
P/E (TTM): 21.1 • P/B: 2.8
Div Yield: 4.6% • Fair Value: $421.0
Slight premium to blended FV; yield cushions drawdowns.
🧮 Quant Composite
B+
Score: 83.0/100
Val 23.0 • Qual 20.0 • Growth 15.0 • Mom 20.0 • Regime 5.0
Quality-income tilt with improving momentum.
🏛️ Capital Structure
A-
ROE: 15.1% • D/E: 0.6
Cash/Debt: 2.7x • ROIC: 13.1%
Strong balance sheet with efficient capital allocation.
📥 Insider & Dividend
A-
Director Transactions (90d): Small net sell
Div Safety: A (coverage 1.3x)
Dividend well-covered; insider flows not material.
Risk Cluster
⚠️ Risk Assessment
B
Market 48.0%, Valuation 28.0%, Fundamentals 18.0%
Composite: 52.0/100 — Moderate
Macro/sector beta the key driver; valuation premium second.
🛰️ Risk Monitor Hooks
A-
Buffett Indicator: 153.1%
VIX: 18.1 • Market Regime: Neutral
Low-vol regime; breadth softening warrants vigilance.
🔥 Scenario Analysis
B+
Bear: $408.0 (20%) • Base: $448.0 (55%) • Bull: $496.0 (25%)
R:R: 1.9:1
Mildly asymmetric to upside if breadth stabilises.
Action Zone
Entry Zone
Pattern Trigger Zone
$503.82
Above breakout level
Position Size
3.0-4.0%
Entry Probability (3d)
30.0%
Historical R/R
1.9:1
Pattern Win Rate: 76.0%
Targets & Upside
Pattern Target 1
$543.11
22.6% upside
Pattern Target 2
$567.4
28.0% upside
Expected Timeframe
15.0-21.0 days
Risk Management
Pattern Stop
$430.9
Pattern invalidation
Max Risk
11.0%
Risk-Reward
1.9:1
📅 Upcoming Catalysts — 3 Events
2025-08-18.0
🔴 High
Q2 Earnings Release
Revenue, EPS, and forward guidance. Expected volatility: ±11.0%
2025-09-8.0
🟠 Medium
Sector Conference
Management presentation and Q&A. Potential guidance updates
2025-09-23.0
🟢 Low
Ex-Dividend Date
Quarterly dividend of $1.21. Price adjustment expected
Sector Context:
Sector 0.6% today • Avg Daily Volume: $243.0M • Last Updated: 2026-01-02 16:45 UTC