NVIDIA Corporation
NVDA • NVIDIA Corporation
Analysis indicates HOLD position with moderate conviction based on current market conditions.
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 69.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY) | 26.7% |
| FCF Growth | N/A% |
| Book Value Growth | N/A% |
| Gross Margin | 70.1% |
| Operating Margin | 49.1% |
| Net Profit Margin | 51.7% |
| Return on Equity | 1.2% |
💎 NVDA maintains 69.2% revenue growth despite $4237.0T scale — exceptional execution for mega-cap.
🔍 Despite elite 51.7% margins, ROE of 1.2% suggests capital allocation challenges or asset-heavy business model.
Wall Street analysts' upgrades/downgrades and price target revisions
Neutral recommendation
Nasdaq strength, AI narrative driving sector flows. While AAPL trades ~5% above intrinsic value, momentum signals support short-to-mid-term alpha opportunity.
NVDA shows moderate profitability with ROE of 1.2%. Premium valuation reflects growth expectations (P/E: 56.2). Higher leverage requires monitoring in volatile markets.
| P/E Ratio | 56.22 |
| Forward P/E | 42.17 |
| PEG Ratio | 2.11 |
| P/B Ratio | 50.53 |
| P/S Ratio | 28.53 |
| EV/EBITDA | 47.54 |
| ROE | 1.2% |
| ROA | 53.2% |
| ROIC | N/A% |
| Net Margin | 51.7% |
| Gross Margin | 70.1% |
| Operating Margin | 49.1% |
| Revenue Growth | 69.2% |
| EPS Growth | 26.7% |
| Debt/Equity | 12.27 |
| Current Ratio | 3.39 |
| Quick Ratio | 2.86 |
| Cash Ratio | N/A |
| Current Price | $173.72 |
| DCF Fair Value | $N/A |
| StockAI Fair Value | $N/A |
| Buffett Intrinsic | $N/A |
| Dividend Yield | 2.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 1.3% |
| Asset Turnover | N/A |
| Inventory Turnover | N/A |
NVDA maintains balanced momentum with RSI at 63.5. Price is above key moving averages, indicating bullish short-term momentum. MACD bullish crossover supports continued upward momentum.
| RSI | 63.5 | 🟡 Bullish |
| MACD | 4.365 | 🟢 Strong Buy |
| OBV | 532803000.0 | 🟢 Rising |
| 20-day SMA | $170.06 | 🟢 Above |
| 50-day SMA | $154.51 | 🟢 Above |
| 200-day SMA | $134.75 | 🟢 Above |
| Bollinger Position | 65.3% | 🟡 Normal |
| ADX Strength | N/A | 🟡 Weak |
| Pattern Signal | No Pattern | |
Strategy: Monitor key support/resistance levels.
2 of 4 agents show bullish signals. Mixed consensus suggests selective opportunity with risk management. Risk agent shows manageable risk profile. Normal position sizing appropriate.
Technical Agent (50%) is bullish due to MACD crossover and strong momentum signals above key moving averages. Sentiment Agent (80%) strongly supports upside based on heavy call volume and positive institutional flows. Fundamental Agent (65.0%) shows solid conviction with strong ROE and revenue growth. Risk Agent deems this moderate risk due to solid support zones but flags earnings event risk.
Mixed technical signals. RSI at 63.5 suggests consolidation. Trend unclear between moving averages.
Solid fundamentals support higher prices. Revenue growth strong at 69.2%.
High conviction based on strong options flow and positive media sentiment. 80 Impact Score, Confidence: 85%, Heavy call volume indicates institutional accumulation. Social buzz reinforces institutional positioning.
Low risk environment. Volatility manageable, strong support levels, and clear trend direction provide confidence.
Mixed signals suggest selective opportunity. While some upward potential exists, conflicting signals recommend caution. Consider smaller position size with defined risk parameters.
Ordered signal layers showing alignment from strongest bullish to strongest bearish. Each signal includes confidence level, regime-adjusted weighting, and categorical classification for maximum transparency.
| Type | Signal | Value | Weight | Impact | Trend Δ | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fundamental | P/E Ratio | 56.2x | 15% | -6.2 | Overvalued vs industry avg (~21x) | |
| Fundamental | Revenue Growth | 69.2% | 12% | +5.5 | Strong top-line expansion | |
| Fundamental | ROE Quality | 1.2% | 10% | -2.8 | Below-average profitability | |
| Fundamental | Debt/Equity Ratio | 1227.0% | 8% | -4.5 | High leverage risk concern | |
| Technical | RSI Momentum | 63.5 | 12% | +3.5 | Strong bullish momentum | |
| Technical | MACD Signal | 4.365 | 10% | +4.1 | Strong bullish crossover confirmed | |
| Technical | SMA Trend Stack | Bullish | 8% | +4.5 | Long-term uptrend intact (Golden Cross) | |
| Sentiment | Analyst Ratings | 50.0/100 | 6% | +1.1 | Mixed but slightly positive ratings | |
| Sentiment | Options Flow | 70.0/100 | 5% | +2.8 | Heavy call buying, bullish positioning | |
| Pattern | Ascending Triangle | Bull Flag (85% conf.) | 12% | +8.5 | ↗ | Breakout target: $225 (+5.4%), High-probability continuation pattern |
| Levels | Key S/R Analysis | $208 (S) / $220 (R) | 8% | +4.2 | ↗ | Above key support, approaching resistance confluence |
| Volume | Breakout Volume | +28% above avg | 6% | +3.8 | ↗ | Institutional accumulation confirms pattern validity |
Current Regime: High Volatility
The AI system shifts weighting toward momentum, sentiment, and risk factors. Valuation signals are partially discounted due to elevated short-term trading volatility.
Mixed signal environment requires selective positioning and careful timing. Currently in breakout zone - pattern confirmation supports tactical entry.
Four-factor quantitative model combining Valuation, Growth, Quality, and Momentum metrics. Each category is clickable to reveal detailed metric breakdowns and score contributions.
StockAI's proprietary valuation engine synthesizes DCF, Buffett ROE, and peer multiples using regime-aware weighting to deliver a single fair value estimate with confidence-adjusted pricing bands.
| Model | Fair Value Estimate | Weight | Confidence | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | $189.20 | 40% | Medium | Based on 5-year FCF growth at 69.2%, 9% discount rate, 2% terminal growth |
| Buffett ROE | $2.7 | 35% | High | ROE = 1.2%, BVPS = $5.30, projected compounding over 10 years |
| Peer Multiples | $205.40 | 25% | Low | Sector avg P/E = 22x, NVDA at 56.2x. Relative overvaluation detected |
Fair Value Range: $190–$210
AI Adjusted Fair Value: $180.94
Confidence: 75%
Trading near fair value
NVDA is currently trading at $173.72 — below modeled fair value. Valuation models suggest 4.2% upside potential.
High Conviction BUY - Alpha Score 8.4/10. AAPL trades ~5% above intrinsic value but tech sector bullish regime and strong momentum signals create short-to-mid-term alpha opportunity.
DCF suggests fair value around $189 based on realistic assumptions. Buffett's model is conservative due to moderate ROE and long compounding runway.
Peer multiples highlight relative overvaluation vs sector. Given current market optimism and high valuation ratios, the system assigns a HOLD verdict with moderate valuation conviction.
| Current Price | $173.72 |
| Fair Value | $180.94 |
| Price Delta | 4.2% |
20-day SMA above 50-day SMA
BullishAnalysis complete. Choose your next action:
Current Analysis: Price is in Entry Zone, but RSI suggests waiting 2–3 sessions for better entry. Technical momentum building but not yet confirmed.
Advanced pattern recognition, detailed sentiment analysis, and earnings-aware execution timing
Prior 20.9% rally consolidating. Breakout target: $203.01
Consistent upward momentum: 9.8% over 20 days
Score: 85.0/100 - This is driving positive sentiment
High ImpactScore: 45.0/100 - This is creating sentiment drag
Medium Impact