📊 Analysis Engine

Powered by Fusion Trade Engine™ • Last Updated: 2025-11-18 10:37 UTC

🟡 WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION

Rationale: Buy on breakout above $214.31 (+14.8%)
Trigger: $214.31 (+14.8%)
Catalysts: No near-term catalysts
Fusion Confidence: 53.5% (Pattern 75.0% • ML 40.0% • Technical 9.0/15)
NVDA
$186.6
NVIDIA Corporation
Last Updated: 10:37 UTC
AI Advisor Summary
WAIT
NVDA requires confirmation
Key Insights
  • Fusion confidence: 53% (neutral zone)
  • Setup forming but incomplete
  • Awaiting breakout/breakdown
  • Action: WAIT - monitor for clarity
Add-on Triggers
  • Breakout above resistance
  • Volume confirmation
Exit Alerts
  • Pattern invalidation
  • Stop below support
Generated: 2025-11-18 at 10:37:14.601768 Fusion Engine

Decision Zone

Powered by Fusion Trade Engine™
Current Price
$186.6
NVIDIA Corporation
Fair Value
$234.11
-20.3% discount
Risk Band
Moderate
Quality income play
Fusion Verdict
🟡 WAIT
53.5% confidence
Entry: $214.31
Market Regime
📊 Neutral
Trend: Weak
Breakout Window
7 days
40.0% ML probability
📐 Bull Flag
75.0% confidence • DETECTED
Trigger
$214.31
Target 1
$236.21
Target 2
$249.74
Stop
$174.99
Expected
17d

Evidence Zone

Technical Cluster
📐 Pattern AI
75.0%
Bull Flag (D) — 75.0% conf
Trigger: Above $214.31
T1: $236.21, T2: $249.74
Bull Flag pattern with 75.0% confidence
📈 Technical Snapshot
A-
RSI: 72.0 ↑ • MACD: Bullish cross
MAs: Above 20/50 • Support: $177.27
Momentum constructive; buy-the-dip near 20-50MA.
🔁 Relative Strength
A
vs QQQ: Strong Outperform (1.188x)
Stock: 37.7% • QQQ: 15.9%
Strong tech outperformance.
🧪 Setup Performance
A-
Win Rate: 72.0% • Avg Gain: 4.6%
Median Hold: 13.0d • Max DD: -2.6%
Favourable skew with quick resolution.
🤖 ML Signal Forecast
A
7d: 77.0% ↗ • 21d: 62.0% ↗ • 60d: 57.0% ↔
Bias: Bullish • Confidence: High
Short-term upside odds improving.
Flow & Sentiment Cluster
🌊 Sentiment Proxy
COLD
Score: 27.6 • COLD
RSI: 38.9 • 3d: -3.72%
Net buying in blocks; shorts drifting lower.
📰 Market Sentiment
B
Analyst: 52.0% Buy • Retail: 62.0% bull
News: +0.2.0 (7d) • Social: +0.1.05
Constructive, not euphoric.
📉 Volatility Forecast
B+
HV(20d): 21.6% • HV(60d): 20.6%
Expected Move: ±0.8% / day
Calm tape supports staged entries.
Fundamental & Valuation Cluster
💰 Valuation Analysis
B
P/E (TTM): 20.6 • P/B: 2.8
Div Yield: 4.1% • Fair Value: $177.0
Slight premium to blended FV; yield cushions drawdowns.
🧮 Quant Composite
B+
Score: 77.0/100
Val 23.0 • Qual 16.0 • Growth 14.0 • Mom 16.0 • Regime 4.0
Quality-income tilt with improving momentum.
🏛️ Capital Structure
A-
ROE: 14.6% • D/E: 0.5
Cash/Debt: 2.7x • ROIC: 8.6%
Strong balance sheet with efficient capital allocation.
📥 Insider & Dividend
A-
Director Transactions (90d): Small net sell
Div Safety: A (coverage 1.3x)
Dividend well-covered; insider flows not material.
Risk Cluster
⚠️ Risk Assessment
B
Market 47.0%, Valuation 32.0%, Fundamentals 18.0%
Composite: 68.0/100 — Moderate
Macro/sector beta the key driver; valuation premium second.
🛰️ Risk Monitor Hooks
A-
Buffett Indicator: 146.6%
VIX: 17.6 • Market Regime: Neutral
Low-vol regime; breadth softening warrants vigilance.
🔥 Scenario Analysis
B+
Bear: $172.0 (20%) • Base: $188.0 (55%) • Bull: $209.0 (25%)
R:R: 1.9:1
Mildly asymmetric to upside if breadth stabilises.

Action Zone

Entry Zone
Pattern Trigger Zone
$214.31
Above breakout level
Position Size
3.0-4.0%
Entry Probability (3d)
30.0%
Historical R/R
1.9:1
Pattern Win Rate: 75.0%
Targets & Upside
Pattern Target 1
$236.21
26.6% upside
Pattern Target 2
$249.74
33.8% upside
Expected Timeframe
15.0-21.0 days
Risk Management
Pattern Stop
$174.99
Pattern invalidation
Max Risk
11.0%
Risk-Reward
1.9:1

📅 Upcoming Catalysts — 3 Events

2025-08-22.0
🔴 High
Q2 Earnings Release
Revenue, EPS, and forward guidance. Expected volatility: ±10.0%
2025-09-8.0
🟠 Medium
Sector Conference
Management presentation and Q&A. Potential guidance updates
2025-09-23.0
🟢 Low
Ex-Dividend Date
Quarterly dividend of $0.7. Price adjustment expected
Sector Context:
Sector 0.9% today • Avg Daily Volume: $287.0M • Last Updated: 2025-11-18 10:37 UTC