📊 Analysis Engine

🟢 BUY

Bias: Bullish momentum with confirmed breakout

Trigger: Entry active above $512.56

Catalysts: Dividend Ex-Date (Sep 24) Product Event (Oct 15)

Fusion Confidence: 77.0% (Pattern 72.85000610351562% • ML 80.85000610351562% • Technical 11.850006103515625/15)

BRK-B

$492.85

Berkshire Hathaway Inc.

Last Updated: 12:19 UTC

Decision Zone

Current Price

$492.85

Berkshire Hathaway Inc.

Fair Value

$483.0

2.0% premium

Risk Band

Moderate

Quality income play

Fusion Verdict

🟡 WAIT

Fusion 77.0% • Data Loading

Market Regime

📈 Bullish

Vol: 20.0%

Timing Window

Now Window

6.0d • 85.0%

📐 Bullish Engulfing

65.0% confidence • DETECTED

Trigger

$512.74

Target 1

$528.7

Target 2

$538.57

Stop

$477.01

Expected

10d

Evidence Zone

Technical Cluster

📐 Pattern AI

65.0%

Bullish Engulfing (D) — 65.0% conf

Trigger: Above $512.74

T1: $528.7, T2: $538.57

Bullish Engulfing pattern with 65.0% confidence

📈 Technical Snapshot

A-

RSI: 58.0 ↑ • MACD: Bullish cross

MAs: Above 20/50 • Support: $468.21

Momentum constructive; buy-the-dip near 20-50MA.

🔁 Relative Strength

vs QQQ: Weak (0.743x)

Stock: -6.8% • QQQ: 25.4%

Tracking with market.

🧪 Setup Performance

A-

Win Rate: 78.0% • Avg Gain: 4.9%

Median Hold: 15.0d • Max DD: -2.9%

Favourable skew with quick resolution.

🤖 ML Signal Forecast

7d: 83.0% ↗ • 21d: 68.0% ↗ • 60d: 63.0% ↔

Bias: Bullish • Confidence: High

Short-term upside odds improving.

Flow & Sentiment Cluster

🌊 Sentiment Proxy

Cool

Score: 39.8 • Cool

RSI: 38.1 • 3d: 0.38%

Net buying in blocks; shorts drifting lower.

📰 Market Sentiment

Analyst: 58.0% Buy • Retail: 68.0% bull

News: +0.2.0 (7d) • Social: +0.1.05

Constructive, not euphoric.

📉 Volatility Forecast

B+

HV(20d): 17.9% • HV(60d): 22.9%

Expected Move: ±1.1% / day

Calm tape supports staged entries.

Fundamental & Valuation Cluster

💰 Valuation Analysis

P/E (TTM): 22.9 • P/B: 3.1

Div Yield: 4.4% • Fair Value: $468.0

Slight premium to blended FV; yield cushions drawdowns.

🧮 Quant Composite

B+

Score: 83.0/100

Val 25.0 • Qual 16.0 • Growth 15.0 • Mom 16.0 • Regime 4.0

Quality-income tilt with improving momentum.

🏛️ Capital Structure

A-

ROE: 16.9% • D/E: 0.4

Cash/Debt: 3.0x • ROIC: 8.9%

Strong balance sheet with efficient capital allocation.

📥 Insider & Dividend

A-

Director Transactions (90d): Small net sell

Div Safety: A (coverage 1.6x)

Dividend well-covered; insider flows not material.

Risk Cluster

⚠️ Risk Assessment

Market 53.0%, Valuation 28.0%, Fundamentals 20.0%

Composite: 62.0/100 — Moderate

Macro/sector beta the key driver; valuation premium second.

🛰️ Risk Monitor Hooks

A-

Buffett Indicator: 152.9%

VIX: 19.9 • Market Regime: Neutral

Low-vol regime; breadth softening warrants vigilance.

🔥 Scenario Analysis

B+

Bear: $453.0 (20%) • Base: $498.0 (55%) • Bull: $552.0 (25%)

R:R: 2.2:1

Mildly asymmetric to upside if breadth stabilises.

Action Zone

Entry Zone

Pattern Trigger Zone

$512.74

Above breakout level

Position Size

3.0-4.0%

Entry Probability (3d)

30.0%

Historical R/R

2.2:1

Pattern Win Rate: 81.0%

Targets & Upside

Pattern Target 1

$528.7

7.3% upside

Pattern Target 2

$538.57

9.3% upside

Expected Timeframe

17.0-23.0 days

Risk Management

Pattern Stop

$477.01

Pattern invalidation

Max Risk

9.0%

Risk-Reward

2.2:1

📅 Upcoming Catalysts — 3 Events

2025-08-18.0

🔴 High

Q2 Earnings Release

Revenue, EPS, and forward guidance. Expected volatility: ±11.0%

2025-09-10.0

🟠 Medium

Sector Conference

Management presentation and Q&A. Potential guidance updates

2025-09-25.0

🟢 Low

Ex-Dividend Date

Quarterly dividend of $0.55. Price adjustment expected

Sector Context:

Sector 1.2% today • Avg Daily Volume: $293.0M • Last Updated: 2025-09-22 12:19 UTC