📊 Analysis Engine

Powered by Fusion Trade Engine™ • Last Updated: 2025-11-18 09:20 UTC

🟡 WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION

Rationale: Buy on breakout above $478.81 (+17.1%)
Trigger: $478.81 (+17.1%)
Catalysts: No near-term catalysts
Fusion Confidence: 53.5% (Pattern 75.0% • ML 40.0% • Technical 9.0/15)
TSLA
$408.92
Tesla, Inc.
Last Updated: 09:20 UTC
AI Advisor Summary
WAIT
TSLA requires confirmation
Key Insights
  • Fusion confidence: 53% (neutral zone)
  • Setup forming but incomplete
  • Awaiting breakout/breakdown
  • Action: WAIT - monitor for clarity
Add-on Triggers
  • Breakout above resistance
  • Volume confirmation
Exit Alerts
  • Pattern invalidation
  • Stop below support
Generated: 2025-11-18 at 09:20:58.118543 Fusion Engine

Decision Zone

Powered by Fusion Trade Engine™
Current Price
$408.92
Tesla, Inc.
Fair Value
$392.93
4.1% premium
Risk Band
Moderate
Quality income play
Fusion Verdict
🟡 WAIT
53.5% confidence
Entry: $478.81
Market Regime
📊 Neutral
Trend: Weak
Breakout Window
7 days
40.0% ML probability
📐 Bull Flag
75.0% confidence • DETECTED
Trigger
$478.81
Target 1
$535.23
Target 2
$570.1
Stop
$378.95
Expected
19d

Evidence Zone

Technical Cluster
📐 Pattern AI
75.0%
Bull Flag (D) — 75.0% conf
Trigger: Above $478.81
T1: $535.23, T2: $570.1
Bull Flag pattern with 75.0% confidence
📈 Technical Snapshot
A-
RSI: 54.0 ↑ • MACD: Bullish cross
MAs: Above 20/50 • Support: $388.47
Momentum constructive; buy-the-dip near 20-50MA.
🔁 Relative Strength
B
vs QQQ: In-line (1.031x)
Stock: 19.5% • QQQ: 15.9%
Tracking with market.
🧪 Setup Performance
A-
Win Rate: 74.0% • Avg Gain: 4.9%
Median Hold: 11.0d • Max DD: -2.9%
Favourable skew with quick resolution.
🤖 ML Signal Forecast
A
7d: 74.0% ↗ • 21d: 64.0% ↗ • 60d: 54.0% ↔
Bias: Bullish • Confidence: High
Short-term upside odds improving.
Flow & Sentiment Cluster
🌊 Sentiment Proxy
COLD
Score: 24.9 • COLD
RSI: 36.5 • 3d: -5.03%
Net buying in blocks; shorts drifting lower.
📰 Market Sentiment
B
Analyst: 54.0% Buy • Retail: 59.0% bull
News: +0.2.0 (7d) • Social: +0.1.05
Constructive, not euphoric.
📉 Volatility Forecast
B+
HV(20d): 23.9% • HV(60d): 18.9%
Expected Move: ±1.1% / day
Calm tape supports staged entries.
Fundamental & Valuation Cluster
💰 Valuation Analysis
B
P/E (TTM): 18.9 • P/B: 3.1
Div Yield: 4.4% • Fair Value: $388.0
Slight premium to blended FV; yield cushions drawdowns.
🧮 Quant Composite
B+
Score: 74.0/100
Val 21.0 • Qual 16.0 • Growth 16.0 • Mom 16.0 • Regime 4.0
Quality-income tilt with improving momentum.
🏛️ Capital Structure
A-
ROE: 12.9% • D/E: 0.4
Cash/Debt: 3.0x • ROIC: 8.9%
Strong balance sheet with efficient capital allocation.
📥 Insider & Dividend
A-
Director Transactions (90d): Small net sell
Div Safety: A (coverage 1.6x)
Dividend well-covered; insider flows not material.
Risk Cluster
⚠️ Risk Assessment
B
Market 44.0%, Valuation 34.0%, Fundamentals 16.0%
Composite: 56.0/100 — Moderate
Macro/sector beta the key driver; valuation premium second.
🛰️ Risk Monitor Hooks
A-
Buffett Indicator: 143.9%
VIX: 15.9 • Market Regime: Neutral
Low-vol regime; breadth softening warrants vigilance.
🔥 Scenario Analysis
B+
Bear: $376.0 (20%) • Base: $413.0 (55%) • Bull: $458.0 (25%)
R:R: 2.2:1
Mildly asymmetric to upside if breadth stabilises.

Action Zone

Entry Zone
Pattern Trigger Zone
$478.81
Above breakout level
Position Size
3.0-4.0%
Entry Probability (3d)
30.0%
Historical R/R
2.2:1
Pattern Win Rate: 72.0%
Targets & Upside
Pattern Target 1
$535.23
30.9% upside
Pattern Target 2
$570.1
39.4% upside
Expected Timeframe
13.0-19.0 days
Risk Management
Pattern Stop
$378.95
Pattern invalidation
Max Risk
9.0%
Risk-Reward
2.2:1

📅 Upcoming Catalysts — 3 Events

2025-08-24.0
🔴 High
Q2 Earnings Release
Revenue, EPS, and forward guidance. Expected volatility: ±12.0%
2025-09-6.0
🟠 Medium
Sector Conference
Management presentation and Q&A. Potential guidance updates
2025-09-21.0
🟢 Low
Ex-Dividend Date
Quarterly dividend of $0.62. Price adjustment expected
Sector Context:
Sector 1.2% today • Avg Daily Volume: $209.0M • Last Updated: 2025-11-18 09:20 UTC