📊 Analysis Engine

Powered by Fusion Trade Engine™ • Last Updated: 2025-11-18 10:33 UTC

🟡 WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION

Rationale: Analysis unavailable
Catalysts: No near-term catalysts
Fusion Confidence: 0.0% (Pattern 0% • ML 0% • Technical 0.0/15)
QQQ
$603.66
Invesco QQQ Trust
Last Updated: 10:33 UTC
AI Advisor Summary
WAIT
QQQ requires confirmation
Key Insights
  • Fusion confidence: 50% (neutral zone)
  • Setup forming but incomplete
  • Awaiting breakout/breakdown
  • Action: WAIT - monitor for clarity
Add-on Triggers
  • Breakout above resistance
  • Volume confirmation
Exit Alerts
  • Pattern invalidation
  • Stop below support
Generated: 2025-11-18 at 10:33:36.985666 Fusion Engine

Decision Zone

Powered by Fusion Trade Engine™
Current Price
$603.66
Invesco QQQ Trust
Fair Value
$664.03
Target price
Risk Band
Moderate
Quality income play
Fusion Verdict
🟡 WAIT
0.0% confidence
Market Regime
📊 Neutral
Trend: Weak
Breakout Window
7 days
40.0% ML probability
📐 Bearish Engulfing
65.0% confidence • DETECTED
Trigger
$643.38
Target 1
$668.0
Target 2
$683.22
Stop
$591.2
Expected
11d

Evidence Zone

Technical Cluster
📐 Pattern AI
65.0%
Bearish Engulfing (D) — 65.0% conf
Trigger: Above $643.38
T1: $668.0, T2: $683.22
Bearish Engulfing pattern with 65.0% confidence
📈 Technical Snapshot
A-
RSI: 49.0 ↑ • MACD: Bullish cross
MAs: Above 20/50 • Support: $573.48
Momentum constructive; buy-the-dip near 20-50MA.
🔁 Relative Strength
B
vs QQQ: In-line (1.0x)
Stock: 15.9% • QQQ: 15.9%
Tracking with market.
🧪 Setup Performance
A-
Win Rate: 69.0% • Avg Gain: 4.7%
Median Hold: 14.0d • Max DD: -3.7%
Favourable skew with quick resolution.
🤖 ML Signal Forecast
A
7d: 69.0% ↗ • 21d: 59.0% ↗ • 60d: 54.0% ↔
Bias: Bullish • Confidence: High
Short-term upside odds improving.
Flow & Sentiment Cluster
🌊 Sentiment Proxy
EXTR
Score: 18.9 • EXTREME COLD
RSI: 32.4 • 3d: -2.8%
Net buying in blocks; shorts drifting lower.
📰 Market Sentiment
B
Analyst: 49.0% Buy • Retail: 54.0% bull
News: +0.2.0 (7d) • Social: +0.2.05
Constructive, not euphoric.
📉 Volatility Forecast
B+
HV(20d): 18.7% • HV(60d): 21.7%
Expected Move: ±0.9% / day
Calm tape supports staged entries.
Fundamental & Valuation Cluster
💰 Valuation Analysis
B
P/E (TTM): 21.7 • P/B: 2.9
Div Yield: 5.2% • Fair Value: $573.0
Slight premium to blended FV; yield cushions drawdowns.
🧮 Quant Composite
B+
Score: 69.0/100
Val 24.0 • Qual 19.0 • Growth 16.0 • Mom 19.0 • Regime 4.0
Quality-income tilt with improving momentum.
🏛️ Capital Structure
A-
ROE: 15.7% • D/E: 0.4
Cash/Debt: 2.8x • ROIC: 11.7%
Strong balance sheet with efficient capital allocation.
📥 Insider & Dividend
A-
Director Transactions (90d): Small net sell
Div Safety: A (coverage 1.4x)
Dividend well-covered; insider flows not material.
Risk Cluster
⚠️ Risk Assessment
B
Market 44.0%, Valuation 29.0%, Fundamentals 19.0%
Composite: 71.0/100 — Moderate
Macro/sector beta the key driver; valuation premium second.
🛰️ Risk Monitor Hooks
A-
Buffett Indicator: 138.7%
VIX: 18.7 • Market Regime: Neutral
Low-vol regime; breadth softening warrants vigilance.
🔥 Scenario Analysis
B+
Bear: $555.0 (20%) • Base: $610.0 (55%) • Bull: $676.0 (25%)
R:R: 2.0:1
Mildly asymmetric to upside if breadth stabilises.

Action Zone

Entry Zone
Pattern Trigger Zone
$643.38
Above breakout level
Position Size
4.0-5.0%
Entry Probability (3d)
30.0%
Historical R/R
2.0:1
Pattern Win Rate: 72.0%
Targets & Upside
Pattern Target 1
$668.0
10.7% upside
Pattern Target 2
$683.22
13.2% upside
Expected Timeframe
16.0-22.0 days
Risk Management
Pattern Stop
$591.2
Pattern invalidation
Max Risk
12.0%
Risk-Reward
2.0:1

📅 Upcoming Catalysts — 3 Events

2025-08-19.0
🔴 High
Q2 Earnings Release
Revenue, EPS, and forward guidance. Expected volatility: ±12.0%
2025-09-9.0
🟠 Medium
Sector Conference
Management presentation and Q&A. Potential guidance updates
2025-09-24.0
🟢 Low
Ex-Dividend Date
Quarterly dividend of $0.96. Price adjustment expected
Sector Context:
Sector 0.4% today • Avg Daily Volume: $204.0M • Last Updated: 2025-11-18 10:33 UTC