📊 Analysis Engine
Powered by Fusion Trade Engine™ • Last Updated: 2026-01-02 15:14 UTC
🟡 WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION
Rationale: Buy on breakout above $194.86 (+2.0%)
Trigger: $194.86 (+2.0%)
Catalysts:
No near-term catalysts
Fusion Confidence:
65.5%
(Pattern 60.0% •
ML 70.0% •
Technical 9.0/15)
NVDA
$190.99
NVIDIA Corporation
Last Updated: 15:14 UTC
AI Advisor Summary
NVDA requires confirmation
Key Insights
- Fusion confidence: 65% (neutral zone)
- Setup forming but incomplete
- Awaiting breakout/breakdown
- Action: WAIT - monitor for clarity
Add-on Triggers
- Breakout above resistance
- Volume confirmation
Exit Alerts
- Pattern invalidation
- Stop below support
Generated: 2026-01-02 at 15:14:55.686792
Fusion Engine
Decision Zone
Powered by Fusion Trade Engine™
Current Price
$190.99
NVIDIA Corporation
Fair Value
$253.02
-24.5% discount
Risk Band
Moderate
Quality income play
Fusion Verdict
🟡 WAIT
65.5% confidence
Entry: $194.86
Market Regime
📊 Neutral
Trend: Weak
Breakout Window
7 days
70.0% ML probability
📐 Ascending Triangle
60.0% confidence • DETECTED
Trigger
$194.86
Target 1
$208.84
Target 2
$217.48
Stop
$168.61
Expected
13d
Evidence Zone
Technical Cluster
📐 Pattern AI
60.0%
Ascending Triangle (D) — 60.0% conf
Trigger: Above $194.86
T1: $208.84, T2: $217.48
Ascending Triangle pattern with 60.0% confidence
📈 Technical Snapshot
A-
RSI: 76.0 ↑ • MACD: Bullish cross
MAs: Above 20/50 • Support: $181.44
Momentum constructive; buy-the-dip near 20-50MA.
📊 Gap Analysis
1.0%
Continuation Gap • Add CTN
Target: $198.41 • Stop: $187.28
Trend continuation signal.
🧪 Setup Performance
A-
Win Rate: 76.0% • Avg Gain: 6.0%
Median Hold: 17.0d • Max DD: -3.0%
Favourable skew with quick resolution.
🤖 ML Signal Forecast
A
7d: 81.0% ↗ • 21d: 66.0% ↗ • 60d: 61.0% ↔
Bias: Bullish • Confidence: High
Short-term upside odds improving.
Flow & Sentiment Cluster
🌊 Sentiment Proxy
Warm
Score: 66.1
• Warm
RSI: 61.3 • 3d: 1.47%
Net buying in blocks; shorts drifting lower.
📰 Market Sentiment
B
Analyst: 56.0% Buy • Retail: 66.0% bull
News: +0.3.0 (7d) • Social: +0.1.05
Constructive, not euphoric.
📉 Volatility Forecast
B+
HV(20d): 16.0% • HV(60d): 25.0%
Expected Move: ±1.0% / day
Calm tape supports staged entries.
Fundamental & Valuation Cluster
💰 Valuation Analysis
B
P/E (TTM): 25.0 • P/B: 2.7
Div Yield: 4.5% • Fair Value: $181.0
Slight premium to blended FV; yield cushions drawdowns.
🧮 Quant Composite
B+
Score: 81.0/100
Val 27.0 • Qual 20.0 • Growth 13.0 • Mom 20.0 • Regime 5.0
Quality-income tilt with improving momentum.
🏛️ Capital Structure
A-
ROE: 19.0% • D/E: 0.5
Cash/Debt: 2.6x • ROIC: 13.0%
Strong balance sheet with efficient capital allocation.
📥 Insider & Dividend
A-
Director Transactions (90d): Small net sell
Div Safety: A (coverage 1.7x)
Dividend well-covered; insider flows not material.
Risk Cluster
⚠️ Risk Assessment
B
Market 51.0%, Valuation 26.0%, Fundamentals 22.0%
Composite: 64.0/100 — Moderate
Macro/sector beta the key driver; valuation premium second.
🛰️ Risk Monitor Hooks
A-
Buffett Indicator: 151.0%
VIX: 22.0 • Market Regime: Neutral
Low-vol regime; breadth softening warrants vigilance.
🔥 Scenario Analysis
B+
Bear: $176.0 (20%) • Base: $193.0 (55%) • Bull: $214.0 (25%)
R:R: 2.3:1
Mildly asymmetric to upside if breadth stabilises.
Action Zone
Entry Zone
Pattern Trigger Zone
$194.86
Above breakout level
Position Size
3.0-4.0%
Entry Probability (3d)
60.0%
Historical R/R
2.3:1
Pattern Win Rate: 79.0%
Targets & Upside
Pattern Target 1
$208.84
9.3% upside
Pattern Target 2
$217.48
13.9% upside
Expected Timeframe
19.0-25.0 days
Risk Management
Pattern Stop
$168.61
Pattern invalidation
Max Risk
11.0%
Risk-Reward
2.3:1
📅 Upcoming Catalysts — 3 Events
2025-08-16.0
🔴 High
Q2 Earnings Release
Revenue, EPS, and forward guidance. Expected volatility: ±9.0%
2025-09-12.0
🟠 Medium
Sector Conference
Management presentation and Q&A. Potential guidance updates
2025-09-27.0
🟢 Low
Ex-Dividend Date
Quarterly dividend of $1.09. Price adjustment expected
Sector Context:
Sector 0.5% today • Avg Daily Volume: $291.0M • Last Updated: 2026-01-02 15:14 UTC