📊 Analysis Engine

🟡 WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION

Bias: Bullish but pattern confirmation pending

Trigger: Breakout > $510.56 upgrades to 🟢 BUY

Catalysts: Dividend Ex-Date (Sep 24) Product Event (Oct 15)

Fusion Confidence: 73.0% (Pattern 70.92001342773438% • ML 78.92001342773438% • Technical 9.920013427734375/15)

BRK-B

$490.92

Berkshire Hathaway Inc.

Last Updated: 13:33 UTC

Decision Zone

Current Price

$490.92

Berkshire Hathaway Inc.

Fair Value

$481.0

2.0% premium

Risk Band

Moderate

Quality income play

Fusion Verdict

🟡 WAIT

Fusion 73.0% • Data Loading

Market Regime

📈 Bullish

Vol: 20.0%

Timing Window

Now Window

4.0d • 83.0%

📐 Bearish Engulfing

65.0% confidence • DETECTED

Trigger

$512.74

Target 1

$528.7

Target 2

$538.57

Stop

$477.01

Expected

10d

Evidence Zone

Technical Cluster

📐 Pattern AI

65.0%

Bearish Engulfing (D) — 65.0% conf

Trigger: Above $512.74

T1: $528.7, T2: $538.57

Bearish Engulfing pattern with 65.0% confidence

📈 Technical Snapshot

A-

RSI: 56.0 ↑ • MACD: Bullish cross

MAs: Above 20/50 • Support: $466.37

Momentum constructive; buy-the-dip near 20-50MA.

🔁 Relative Strength

vs QQQ: Weak (0.764x)

Stock: -6.6% • QQQ: 22.1%

Tracking with market.

🧪 Setup Performance

A-

Win Rate: 76.0% • Avg Gain: 5.9%

Median Hold: 13.0d • Max DD: -2.9%

Favourable skew with quick resolution.

🤖 ML Signal Forecast

7d: 81.0% ↗ • 21d: 66.0% ↗ • 60d: 61.0% ↔

Bias: Bullish • Confidence: High

Short-term upside odds improving.

Flow & Sentiment Cluster

🌊 Sentiment Proxy

Cool

Score: 37.1 • Cool

RSI: 38.1 • 3d: -0.29%

Net buying in blocks; shorts drifting lower.

📰 Market Sentiment

Analyst: 56.0% Buy • Retail: 66.0% bull

News: +0.3.0 (7d) • Social: +0.1.05

Constructive, not euphoric.

📉 Volatility Forecast

B+

HV(20d): 15.9% • HV(60d): 20.9%

Expected Move: ±0.9% / day

Calm tape supports staged entries.

Fundamental & Valuation Cluster

💰 Valuation Analysis

P/E (TTM): 20.9 • P/B: 2.6

Div Yield: 4.4% • Fair Value: $466.0

Slight premium to blended FV; yield cushions drawdowns.

🧮 Quant Composite

B+

Score: 81.0/100

Val 23.0 • Qual 20.0 • Growth 13.0 • Mom 20.0 • Regime 5.0

Quality-income tilt with improving momentum.

🏛️ Capital Structure

A-

ROE: 14.9% • D/E: 0.4

Cash/Debt: 2.5x • ROIC: 12.9%

Strong balance sheet with efficient capital allocation.

📥 Insider & Dividend

A-

Director Transactions (90d): Small net sell

Div Safety: A (coverage 1.6x)

Dividend well-covered; insider flows not material.

Risk Cluster

⚠️ Risk Assessment

Market 51.0%, Valuation 26.0%, Fundamentals 18.0%

Composite: 64.0/100 — Moderate

Macro/sector beta the key driver; valuation premium second.

🛰️ Risk Monitor Hooks

A-

Buffett Indicator: 150.9%

VIX: 17.9 • Market Regime: Neutral

Low-vol regime; breadth softening warrants vigilance.

🔥 Scenario Analysis

B+

Bear: $452.0 (20%) • Base: $496.0 (55%) • Bull: $550.0 (25%)

R:R: 2.2:1

Mildly asymmetric to upside if breadth stabilises.

Action Zone

Entry Zone

Pattern Trigger Zone

$512.74

Above breakout level

Position Size

3.0-4.0%

Entry Probability (3d)

30.0%

Historical R/R

2.2:1

Pattern Win Rate: 79.0%

Targets & Upside

Pattern Target 1

$528.7

7.7% upside

Pattern Target 2

$538.57

9.7% upside

Expected Timeframe

15.0-21.0 days

Risk Management

Pattern Stop

$477.01

Pattern invalidation

Max Risk

11.0%

Risk-Reward

2.2:1

📅 Upcoming Catalysts — 3 Events

2025-08-16.0

🔴 High

Q2 Earnings Release

Revenue, EPS, and forward guidance. Expected volatility: ±9.0%

2025-09-8.0

🟠 Medium

Sector Conference

Management presentation and Q&A. Potential guidance updates

2025-09-23.0

🟢 Low

Ex-Dividend Date

Quarterly dividend of $1.02. Price adjustment expected

Sector Context:

Sector 0.4% today • Avg Daily Volume: $291.0M • Last Updated: 2025-09-22 13:33 UTC