📊 Analysis Engine
Powered by Fusion Trade Engine™ • Last Updated: 2025-09-22 15:00 UTC
🟡 WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION
Bias: Bullish but pattern confirmation pending
Trigger: Breakout > $357.76 upgrades to 🟢 BUY
Catalysts:
Dividend Ex-Date (Sep 24)
Product Event (Oct 15)
Fusion Confidence:
70.0%
(Pattern 74.0% • ML 82.0% • Technical 7.0/15)
AVGO
$344.0
Broadcom Inc.
Last Updated: 15:00 UTC
Decision Zone
Powered by Fusion Trade Engine™
Current Price
$344.0
Broadcom Inc.
Fair Value
$337.0
2.0% premium
Risk Band
Moderate
Quality income play
Fusion Verdict
🟡 WAIT
Fusion 70.0% • Data Loading
Market Regime
📈 Bullish
Vol: 20.0%
Timing Window
Now Window
7.0d • 86.0%
📐 Bull Flag
75.0% confidence • DETECTED
Trigger
$377.97
Target 1
$431.78
Target 2
$465.03
Stop
$284.3
Expected
20d
Evidence Zone
Technical Cluster
📐 Pattern AI
75.0%
Bull Flag (D) — 75.0% conf
Trigger: Above $377.97
T1: $431.78, T2: $465.03
Bull Flag pattern with 75.0% confidence
📈 Technical Snapshot
A-
RSI: 69.0 ↑ • MACD: Bullish cross
MAs: Above 20/50 • Support: $326.8
Momentum constructive; buy-the-dip near 20-50MA.
🔁 Relative Strength
A
vs QQQ: Strong Outperform
(1.472x)
Stock: 80.3% • QQQ: 22.5%
Strong tech outperformance.
🧪 Setup Performance
A-
Win Rate: 69.0% • Avg Gain: 6.0%
Median Hold: 10.0d • Max DD: -2.0%
Favourable skew with quick resolution.
🤖 ML Signal Forecast
A
7d: 84.0% ↗ • 21d: 59.0% ↗ • 60d: 64.0% ↔
Bias: Bullish • Confidence: High
Short-term upside odds improving.
Flow & Sentiment Cluster
🌊 Sentiment Proxy
Warm
Score: 68.1
• Warm
RSI: 68.5 • 3d: -0.63%
Net buying in blocks; shorts drifting lower.
📰 Market Sentiment
B
Analyst: 49.0% Buy • Retail: 69.0% bull
News: +0.3.0 (7d) • Social: +0.0.05
Constructive, not euphoric.
📉 Volatility Forecast
B+
HV(20d): 19.0% • HV(60d): 18.0%
Expected Move: ±1.0% / day
Calm tape supports staged entries.
Fundamental & Valuation Cluster
💰 Valuation Analysis
B
P/E (TTM): 18.0 • P/B: 2.7
Div Yield: 3.5% • Fair Value: $327.0
Slight premium to blended FV; yield cushions drawdowns.
🧮 Quant Composite
B+
Score: 84.0/100
Val 20.0 • Qual 17.0 • Growth 16.0 • Mom 17.0 • Regime 5.0
Quality-income tilt with improving momentum.
🏛️ Capital Structure
A-
ROE: 12.0% • D/E: 0.7
Cash/Debt: 2.6x • ROIC: 10.0%
Strong balance sheet with efficient capital allocation.
📥 Insider & Dividend
A-
Director Transactions (90d): Small net sell
Div Safety: A (coverage 1.2x)
Dividend well-covered; insider flows not material.
Risk Cluster
⚠️ Risk Assessment
B
Market 54.0%, Valuation 29.0%, Fundamentals 15.0%
Composite: 61.0/100 — Moderate
Macro/sector beta the key driver; valuation premium second.
🛰️ Risk Monitor Hooks
A-
Buffett Indicator: 154.0%
VIX: 15.0 • Market Regime: Neutral
Low-vol regime; breadth softening warrants vigilance.
🔥 Scenario Analysis
B+
Bear: $316.0 (20%) • Base: $347.0 (55%) • Bull: $385.0 (25%)
R:R: 1.8:1
Mildly asymmetric to upside if breadth stabilises.
Action Zone
Entry Zone
Pattern Trigger Zone
$377.97
Above breakout level
Position Size
2.0-3.0%
Entry Probability (3d)
60.0%
Historical R/R
1.8:1
Pattern Win Rate: 82.0%
Targets & Upside
Pattern Target 1
$431.78
25.5% upside
Pattern Target 2
$465.03
35.2% upside
Expected Timeframe
12.0-18.0 days
Risk Management
Pattern Stop
$284.3
Pattern invalidation
Max Risk
8.0%
Risk-Reward
1.8:1
📅 Upcoming Catalysts — 3 Events
2025-08-19.0
🔴 High
Q2 Earnings Release
Revenue, EPS, and forward guidance. Expected volatility: ±12.0%
2025-09-5.0
🟠 Medium
Sector Conference
Management presentation and Q&A. Potential guidance updates
2025-09-20.0
🟢 Low
Ex-Dividend Date
Quarterly dividend of $1.3. Price adjustment expected
Sector Context:
Sector 1.1% today • Avg Daily Volume: $244.0M • Last Updated: 2025-09-22 15:00 UTC